Watersheds
Messenger Summer 2007 Vol.
XVI, No.
2
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Symptoms of
an Unsustainable World
by Jonathan Ratner |
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I think it was the winter of 1981-
82 when I first noticed that change
was in the air. In 1984, my friend’s
outdoor gear shop went under
because cross country skis were their mainstay of
business and the previous 3 winters it had been too
warm to have much of a snowpack so no one was
buying skis anymore. Another sign for me came in the
winter of 1991 when a bus driver in the Netherlands
was telling us his experience that over the previous
decade it hadn’t snowed in Holland and it never got
cold enough to skate on the canals anymore. And then
in the late 1990’s and early 2000’s I started examining
the loss of glaciers and permanent snowfields in the
Wind River Range that I had photographed in the mid
1970’s. This experiment, which I still continue has been
the most heart rending. Even though the ‘Winds’
contain 7 of the 10 largest glaciers in the lower 48,
calculations made in 1998 predicted all but the largest,
Fremont Glacier, would be gone by 2020.
Over the last few winters I have been keeping track
of daily lows and finding that about 80% of the lows
are 10-15 degrees above the 30 year average.
SNOWTel sites throughout Wyoming, even on years of
above average snowfall, are melting off 3 weeks ahead
of the 1970-2000 average. This year is the melt-off
started in mid February and really kicked in right at the
beginning of March.
I can’t stuff these into the can of vagaries of the
weather, I can only classify these as symptoms of an
unsustainable world. We have been withdrawing from
our natural capital account, as a species, for thousands
of years but the size and pace of these withdrawals
have exponentially increased by the factor of available
energy as we moved from wood to coal to petroleum.
This same increase in energy availability precipitated
the same exponential curve of population growth. And
just as the other 80% of the world’s population wants
the same luxuries that the US (4% of the world’s
population) has enjoyed by using 35% of the planet’s
resources, nature seems to be starting to call in the
debts. We are starting to see the symptoms of an
unsustainable world.
Every aspect of the human world and its source, the
natural world, is stretched to the breaking point. We,
as a species, have built an empire on a specious
philosophical foundation which failed to take basic
physics or the innate interconnectedness of all systems
into account. We have built a civilization of cards by
externalizing the “costs” of doing business under this
baseless philosophy. Yes, it is true that this philosophy
has provided many treasures and worked miraculously
as long as we could keep rolling over the mortgage and
never having to make any payments. But now we are
faced with the undeniable symptoms of an
unsustainable world.
What we who work hard each day to protect and
restore the natural world deal with are the symptoms of
an unsustainable world created from the foundation of
a bogus and short-sighted philosophy. Be they the loss
of the productivity of the land, degradation of riparian
systems, loss of biodiversity, subsidies propping up
unsustainable activities, policies that reward the
externalizing of costs or global warming, all these and
many more are just symptoms of an unsustainable
world.
Albert Einstein is said to have written “You can
never solve a problem on the level on which it was
created.” We cannot build a sustainable world by
tweaking the current foundation. Creating a sustainable
world requires that we create an entirely new
framework on which to base our civilization. Can we
make the leap is the question of this millennia.
Jonathan Ratner is Wyoming director of WWP.
He lives near Dubois, Wyoming.
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